Production‐inventory systems with imperfect advance demand information and updating

We consider a supplier with finite production capacity and stochastic production times. Customers provide advance demand information (ADI) to the supplier by announcing orders ahead of their due dates. However, this information is not perfect, and customers may request an order be fulfilled prior to or later than the expected due date. Customers update the status of their orders, but the time between consecutive updates is random. We formulate the production‐control problem as a continuous‐time Markov decision process and prove there is an optimal state‐dependent base‐stock policy, where the base‐stock levels depend upon the numbers of orders at various stages of update. In addition, we derive results on the sensitivity of the state‐dependent base‐stock levels to the number of orders in each stage of update. In a numerical study, we examine the benefit of ADI, and find that it is most valuable to the supplier when the time between updates is moderate. We also consider the impact of holding and backorder costs, numbers of updates, and the fraction of customers that provide ADI. In addition, we find that while ADI is always beneficial to the supplier, this may not be the case for the customers who provide the ADI. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

以新条令为依据强化三个观念全面促进武警院校正规化建设

条令是实行科学管理的重要依据。新的共同条令的颁发,为实现科学管理创造了良好条件,也对增强管理的科学性提出了更高要求。院校贯彻落实新条令要强化三个观念：强化贯彻新条令的观念,围绕中心凝聚力量;强化以质量效益为核心的观念,提升教学工作和管理教育水平;强化以人为本的观念,营造和谐的环境氛围。确保院校作风优良、纪律严明、秩序正规,推进院校建设全面发展,提高人才培养质量,促进武警院校正规化建设。     

武器装备体系能力多视图模型研究

针对武器装备体系能力概念抽象、关系复杂特点导致建模困难、重用性差、语义不一致等诸多问题,提出了一种基于本体的能力多视图模型构建方法,建立了6个能力视图的元模型.该方法首先明确能力领域问题,确定武器装备体系能力领域核心本体及构建原则,然后采用形式化方法描述本体,建立核心本体的关系模型,最后面向能力视图内容建立元模型,通过...     

系统动力学C3I系统作战效能评估

C3I系统效能评估是C3I系统发展的重要问题,现有的ADC法、指数法、层次分析法和SEA方法等都存在着某种局限性,也无法度量C3I系统与作战结果的关系.系统动力学是一门分析研究信息反馈系统的学科,适合于研究C3I系统的系统效能和作战效能之间的定量关系.以一个具体的关于C3I系统的作战想定为例,构建了该C3I作战系统的因...     

信息化条件下作战体系节点重要性指标的选择

在对作战体系结构信息化演化分析的基础上,对其结构进行网络描述,引入度指标、介数指标、紧密度指标和特征向量指标等节点重要性度量指标,并根据最大连通分支的大小和平均路径长度对作战体系受到攻击后的受损程度进行度量,进而选择出最有效的重要性指标,是对作战体系节点重要性指标选择的有益探索,可以为体系对抗中关键节点判定等问题的深入...     

模糊论的复杂系统评价方法

模糊综合评价法对复杂系统进行评价具有其他评价方法无法比拟的优越性.介绍了模糊评价的基本原理及其数学模型,给出了复杂系统的模糊矩阵的表示方法及推理过程.重点分析了其在某型垂直/短距飞行器设计中的应用,证明了该方法在系统评价中的有效性.该方法可以有效地对复杂系统进行评价并对系统的设计有一定的指导意义.     

非线性随机动态响应的高效模拟方法

提出了一种分析多自由度非线性系统在随机激励下响应的高效模拟方法。该方法以蒙特卡罗方法为基础,针对动态问题,建立了有效的重要性判别准则,采用俄罗斯轮盘赌与分裂方法来处理响应样本,增加了样本在低失效概率区域出现的几率,提高了模拟效率。通过两个算例表明,该方法操作简单,可以大大地减少计算量,能够适用于实际的工程问题。     

复杂体系的结构分析和建模研究

根据复杂体系的概念及其所呈现出的多种特性,利用复杂体系的使命分解和复杂体系的元素组成对复杂体系进行综合的结构分析,描述了目标分解、功能分解和行为分解的复杂体系使命目标三阶段分解过程以及系统单元、复合元和体系外部环境的复杂体系三元素结构框架。在此基础上,提出了采用一种“两层四级”的设计思想对复杂体系进行有效的结构建模设计,并针对复杂体系内部的相互位置层次及其功能关联定义了度量实体、层级映射、系统关联性和软构层等相关概念,清晰地阐释了复杂体系结构分析和建模时体系层次映射的实质,从而为复杂体系的效能评估以及体系改进和优化提供一定的理论指导。     

An efficient and modular modeling for launch dynamics of tubed rockets on a moving launcher

This paper develops a modular modeling and efficient formulation of launch dynamics with marching fire (LDMF) using a mixed formulation of the transfer matrix method for multibody systems (MSTMM) and Newton-Euler formulation. Taking a ground-borne multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS), the focus is on the launching subsystem comprising the rocket, flexible tube, and tube tail. The launching subsystem is treated as a coupled rigid-flexible multibody system, where the rocket and tube tail are treated as rigid bodies while the flexible tube as a beam with large motion. Firstly, the tube and tube tail can be elegantly handled by the MSTMM, a computationally efficient order-N formulation. Then, the equation of motion of the in-bore rocket with relative kinematics w.r.t. the tube using the Newton-Euler method is derived. Finally, the rocket, tube, and tube tail dynamics are coupled, yielding the equation of motion of the launching subsystem that can be regarded as a building block and further integrated with other subsystems. The deduced dynamics equation of the launching subsystem is not limited to ground-borne MLRS but also fits for tanks, self-propelled artilleries, and other air-borne and naval-borne weapons undergoing large motion. Numerical simulation results of LDMF are given and partially verified by the experiment.     

【专题】从系统工程视角看无人机自主控制系统

提升无人机的自主控制能力可有效提高无人机在复杂对抗环境下的作战性能。系统工程是指导复杂系统研制的有效手段,采用系统的思维方法,关注系统的整体效能优化实现。系统工程覆盖复杂工程型号生命周期的全流程活动,包括概念论证、工程开发、生产制造、使用服役、综合保障以及系统退出等过程,能够为系统开发中各工程技术的应用,跨专业工程合作以及项目管理建立切实的技术路径。无人机外部应用背景环境与内部体系结构相互交联,是一个典型的“系统之系统”（System of Systems）。无人机自主控制系统是跨域、跨平台的复杂“系统之系统”。本文从系统复杂性出发,介绍了无人机系统组成、自主控制系统以及无人机自主能力等级,以期为无人机自主控制技术的发展提供参考和借鉴。